Which Nintendo console had the biggest launch? Not the one you’d think…

Nintendo has predicted that it will sell 15 million switches in its current financial year. Analysts believe that number is conservative. Nintendo says the price of switch 2 is the same as the estimates are behind. But what does it really mean? Is this a reasonable target? If Nintendo collides with it, is it guaranteed that the switch will be 2 mass hits? If someone sells at the time of a console launch, what does it tell us? Is there any possibility of a Wii U-style flop?

Certainly it is impossible to know, but taking a look at Nintendo’s past console launches can find some indicators. I have deepened the past data of Nintendo’s sales to determine which Nintendo consoles have enjoyed the best launches. To get a more reliable image than this initial, almost unavoidable sale, I have described the launch as the first year of console (or instead of the first four financial circles) in the market.

Note that Nintendo began reporting quarterly sales for his system only in the mid -2000, and preliminary data is best and difficult from annually, so some of them are near. The note also, that the old systems surprised the launches in three major markets (Japan, North America, and Europe), sometimes in many years, reducing their potential sales.

Nevertheless, there are some amazing results that have predicted Nintendo’s 15 million forecasts for Switch 2 in the context. Selling to many units will certainly not be bad news-but it does not identify any slim dancing.

Nintendo is a clear sample for the two fastest sellers. He was the successor of a massive hit (Game Boy and DS) in the handheld market, where Nintendo gained complete dominance. After the long -term regime of the Game Boy format, Nintendo Game was so happy about Advance, It has predicted amazing 24 million sales In its first year, while 3DS followed the largest seller in Nintendo so far. They both sold well, but did not survive their leaders.

Switch and Wii are the only Nintendo consoles whose sales are more than 10 million in the first year And For more than 100 million quarters in his life, he became incredibly permanently sales. This is definitely what Nintendo wants to look like all its hardware launches, and what is expected with Switch 2.

It is surprising that the DS did not launch its handheld predecessor, considering the early sales of the game boy advance, considering the early sales. But its launch games were not excellent and it took a little time to find the weird design of the console its ultimately comfortable audience. In its fifth quarter – holiday 2005 – suddenly began.

The two Nintendo Home Consoles created during the PlayStation rise enjoyed properly strong launches, but the software supported it due to lack of support. Game Cube sold 30 % of its lifetime on sales in its first year – this is a misfortune success that also defeats the YU’s disappointing proportion.

Symptoms of Game Boy are that it was an immediate break Tattoos. But when it was healthy for time, it did not begin to show what Nintendo explaining handheld – in the first year (before arriving in Europe) was only 3 % of the sales sales that sell in the game boys and the game boys.

Nintendo’s recent (but not the worst) Flop in fact started shifting more than 3 million units in its first quarter-but then he suffered a catastrophic drop-off, which sold less than 900,000 worldwide during the rest of his first year. Given the sale of the early holidays, the signs of the disaster were clear.

Both Nintendo’s early home consoles launched strictly in Japan, but it took a long time to take off the West. Between the 1980s video game crash, Nes was not fully launched in the United States and Europe until 1986, while SNES was defeated by Sega Genius in the market in the West and resulted in it.

Within a year of sale you can’t launch worse!

What does this mean for the launch of switch 2?

If Nintendo meets or exceeds the 15 million switch 2s sold in its first fiscal year, it will be included in the launches of the Nintendo Console. A Wii U-style flop seems to be very likely, until the sale ends up after the first few months.

But here are the highest number of comparisons in Nintendo’s top two launches: game boy advance and 3DS. Like Switch 2, they were both conservative, easy to understand sequelis, which had full control of Nintendo for large sellers in the market sector. And when both respected lifetime, they have not been found near the sale of their modern predecessors.

Can this switch be the fate of 2? According to the history of Nintendo’s launch, this is possible – perhaps the possibility.